The full consortium is invited to meet and discuss high-priority public health topics relevant to modeling and advanced analytics on an as needed basis. Additionally, there is a biweekly smaller group convening. Email [email protected] if you're interested in presenting or leading a discussion panel.
October 25, 2023 - Flu forecasting and scenario modeling
September 13, 2023 - Forecasting COVID-19 during surges
August 9, 2023 - Lessons from California’s COVID-19 Exposure Notification System (CA Notify) for Future Pandemic Responses
June 7, 2023 - Key Findings: i. Merging electronic health record and CDPH data on COVID-19 vaccination rates to examine structural, neighborhood, and individual-level disparities in uptake, and ii. Black-Focused Assessment of Indicators for Risk Reduction (BFAIRR)
May 3, 2023 - Key Findings: i. Estimated impact of COVID-19 vaccines and school attendance, and ii. Forecasting hospitalization and nowcasting transmission of SARS-CoV-2
February 1, 2023 - Retrospective look at model performance
December 8, 2022 - COVID-19 Winter Outlook
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters
- Rachel Baker (Brown)
- Chadi Saad-Roy (UCB)
- Discussion: Interactions between seasonality in transmission (due to behavior & climate), and population immunity (both vaccine- and infection-derived), as well as any behavioral changes or NPIs, modeling and potential policy interventions, implications of COVID-19 NPIs for other infections
- Moderator - Tomás León (CDPH)
- Discussant - Erin Murray (CDPH)
- Discussant - Marm Kilpatrick (UCSC)
- Discussant - Maya Petersen (UCB)
- Discussant - Rachel Baker (Brown)
- Discussant - Chadi Saad-Roy (UCB)
October 5, 2022 - Influenza and Covid-19
September 7, 2022 - Modeling MPX (Monkeypox)
July 6, 2022 - Black-Focused Assessment of Indicators for Risk Reduction of Covid-19
June 15, 2022 - Estimating effective reproductive number dynamics from wastewater + K-12 vaccination policy options
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters
- Isaac Goldstein (UCI) - Estimating effective reproductive number (Rt) dynamics from wastewater SARS-CoV-2 surveillance data
- Jennifer Head (UCB) - K-12 vaccination policy options in light of heterogeneity in infection- and vaccine-induced immunity across California counties
- Moderators
- Tomás León (CDPH)
- Marm Kilpatrick (UCSC)
June 1, 2022 - Covid-19 vaccine and booster disparities in California + Vashon, WA experience
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters
- Debby Oh (UCSF) and Kathryn Kemper (UCSF) - Neighborhood-level disparities in COVID-19 vaccinations and boosters across California
- James Bristow (formerly UCSF) and Karla Lindquist (UCSF) - An Effective Community-Based COVID-19 Response Program: The Vashon, WA Medical Reserve Corps Experience
- Moderator
- Chris Hoover (CDPH)
May 18, 2022 - Genomic Surveillance in Wastewater
April 20, 2022 - Covid-19 by occupation/industry
March 16, 2022 - Assessing the impacts of Covid-19
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenter
- Sandra Huang (CDPH) - Studying the long-term impacts of COVID-19 in California
- Brainstorm
- Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo (UCSF) - Moderator
March 2, 2022 - Evidence for masking
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters
- Sohil Sud (CDPH): Welcome, overview, discussion moderator
- Kristin Andrejko (UC Berkeley): Effectiveness of Face Mask or Respirator Use in Indoor Public Settings for Prevention of SARS-CoV-2 Infection — California, February–December 2021
- Layla Kwong (UC Berkeley): Impact of community masking on COVID-19: A cluster-randomized trial in Bangladesh
February 2, 2022 - Vaccination status and prior diagnosis
January 19, 2022 - Severity of Omicron
January 5, 2022 - UT Texas Austin COVID-19 Modeling Consortium
November 17, 2021 - CDC's New Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics
November 3, 2021 - Future Surge
- Agenda
- Recording (*Note: Due to a technical difficulty only half of the session was recorded)
- Presenters
- Debby Oh (UCSF): Visualizing California COVID disparities at the neighborhood level
- Megha Mehrotra (CDPH): CalScope: SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in California, May – June 2021
- Discussion: Geographical distribution of COVID immunity (from infection and vaccination), and implications for a future surge and vaccination strategy
- Maya Petersen (UCB)
- Marm Kilpatrick (UCSC)
October 20, 2021 - Agent-based models
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters
- Mohsen Malekinejad (CDPH, UCSF): Overview
- Lucia Abascal (UCSF): Strategies to Improve Uptake of COVID-19 vaccination Among Spanish speakers in San Francisco: An Intervention Plan Guided by Implementation Science
- Ravi Goyal (UCSD): Hidden connections: key for investigating the impact of digital notification systems
- Chris Hoover (CDPH): Agent based modeling of staffing and testing schedules to reduce SARS-CoV2 transmission in congregate settings
September 15, 2021 - School-based transmission
- Agenda
- Recording (please submit a request)
- Presenters:
- Jennifer Head - PhD Candidate, UC Berkeley Dept of Epidemiology
- Alyssa Bilinski - Assistant Professor of Health Policy, Brown School of Public Health
- Moderators:
- Naomi Bardach (Safe Schools For All Team Lead, CHHS)
- Ryan McCorvie (CDPH Modeling Team)
September 1, 2021 - Immunity
August 4, 2021 - CDC and CDPH Science Agenda; CA state update
June 23, 2021 - Sub-county Spatio-temporal Modeling
June 9, 2021 - Modeling Variants
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters:
- Seema Jain (CDPH): Welcome, overview, discussion moderator
- Elana Silver (CDPH): Current Surveillance Data Limitations
- Tomas Leon (CDPH): Accounting for Data Limitations from a Modeling Perspective
- Russ Corbett-Detig & Marm Kilpatrick (UCSC): Integrating sequences from different sources into a single repository & applying tools for public health
May 19, 2021 - Modeling Approaches
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters:
- Tomas Leon (CDPH): Welcome & Overview
- Nathan Lo (UCSF): Targeting COVID-19 vaccination in California: past and future work
- Maya Petersen and Josh Schwab (UCB): Compartmental modeling using LEMMA to support evolving county-level vaccine targets and variant/vaccine/re-opening scenarios
- Tomas Leon (CDPH): Discussion moderator
May 5, 2021 - Schools
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters:
- Priya Shete (CDPH): Welcome & Overview
- Kristin Andrejko, Jennifer Head, Justin Remais (UCB): Schools modeling & examining longitudinal social contact patterns among households with children
- Jim Kahn & Sigal Maya (UCSF): COVID screening in schools: Once vs. Twice weekly
- Joshua Salomon (Stanford): Modeling safe school reopening strategies
- Naomi Bardach (CHHS): Discussion moderator
April 21, 2021 - Prisons
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters:
- Stefano Bertozzi (UCB) & Heidi Bauer (CDCR): Welcome and Overview
- Sharon Dolovich & Aaron Littman (UCLA): COVID & prisons presentations UCLA Law COVID-19 Behind Bars Data Project
- Jeremy Goldhaber (Stanford): COVID-19 Analyses to Support Prison Health Policy
- Lee Worden (UCSF): Transmission Dynamics within CA Prisons
- Stefano Bertozzi (UCB) – Discussion Panel Moderator
April 7, 2021 - Wastewater Surveillance
March 24, 2021 - Post-pandemic Forecasting
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters:
- What's the landscape for COVID-19 forecasting now?
- CDPH Modeling Team: Overview and evolution of CalCAT
- Forecasting in the Post-Pandemic Period
- Youyang Gu: CA-based Data Scientist, Creator COVID19-projections.com
- DJ Patil: Former U.S. Chief Data Scientist; Senior Fellow, Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
- Discussion Panel
- Priya Shete - Moderator, CDPH
- Maya Petersen (UCB) – Discussant
- Natasha Martin (UCSD) – Discussant
- Vladimir Minin (UCI) – Discussant
- Travis Porco (UCSF) – Discussant
- What's the landscape for COVID-19 forecasting now?
March 10, 2021 - Seroprevalence Surveys
March 3, 2021 - Surveillance and Modeling Variants
February 24, 2021 - Vaccine Distribution and Modeling Equity
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters:
- Travis Porco (UCSF) & Rae Wannier (UCSF): Ring vaccination against COVID (PDF slides)
- Seth Blumberg (UCSF): Models of the impact of vaccine distribution
- Vickie Mays (UCLA) & Ninez Ponce (UCLA): HPI and Race/Ethnicity
February 17, 2021 - Vaccines and Surveillance
February 10, 2021 - Economics
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters:
- Will Dow (UCB): Macro-economic issues (PDF slides)
- Evan White (California Policy Lab): Monitoring unemployment, small businesses, residential mobility, and stimulus payments (PDF slides)
- Jim Kahn (UCSF): Cost-effectiveness of COVID screening strategies for workplaces (PDF slides)
- Stef Bertozzi (UCB): How economics can be added to prison COVID control modeling
- Josh Goldstein (Urban Footprint): Census Pulse data to examine economic hardship and stress (PDF slides)
February 3, 2021 - Vaccines
- Agenda
- Recording
- Presenters:
- LLoyd Chapman for Nathan Lo (UCSF) (PDF slides)
- Maya Petersen (UCB)
- Chris Hoover (UCB) with Travis Porco (UCSF)
- Yian Ma (UCSD)
- Sara Del Valle (Los Alamos National Lab)
- Tomas L. Aragon (CDPH)
January 27, 2021 - Kickoff
CDPH introduction (PDF slides)